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More holes in the Theory of Manbearpig
A former Manbearpig supporter has changed his mind because the scinetific equations had Manbearpig all wrong.
Researcher: Basic Greenhouse Equations "Totally Wrong"
Michael Asher (Blog) – March 6, 2008 11:02 AM
New derivation of equations governing the greenhouse effect reveals "runaway warming" impossible.
Miklós Zágoni isn’t just a physicist and environmental researcher. He is also a global warming activist and Hungary’s most outspoken supporter of the Kyoto Protocol. Or was.
That was until he learned the details of a new theory of the greenhouse effect, one that not only gave far more accurate climate predictions here on Earth, but Mars too. The theory was developed by another Hungarian scientist, Ferenc Miskolczi, an atmospheric physicist with 30 years of experience and a former researcher with NASA’s Langley Research Center.
After studying it, Zágoni stopped calling global warming a crisis, and has instead focused on presenting the new theory to other climatologists. The data fit extremely well. "I fell in love," he stated at the International Climate Change Conference this week.
"Runaway greenhouse theories contradict energy balance equations," Miskolczi states. Just as the theory of relativity sets an upper limit on velocity, his theory sets an upper limit on the greenhouse effect, a limit which prevents it from warming the Earth more than a certain amount.
How did modern researchers make such a mistake? They relied upon equations derived over 80 years ago, equations which left off one term from the final solution.
Miskolczi’s story reads like a book. Looking at a series of differential equations for the greenhouse effect, he noticed the solution — originally done in 1922 by Arthur Milne, but still used by climate researchers today — ignored boundary conditions by assuming an "infinitely thick" atmosphere. Similar assumptions are common when solving differential equations; they simplify the calculations and often result in a result that still very closely matches reality. But not always.
So Miskolczi re-derived the solution, this time using the proper boundary conditions for an atmosphere that is not infinite. His result included a new term, which acts as a negative feedback to counter the positive forcing. At low levels, the new term means a small difference … but as greenhouse gases rise, the negative feedback predominates, forcing values back down.
NASA refused to release the results. Miskolczi believes their motivation is simple. "Money", he tells DailyTech. Research that contradicts the view of an impending crisis jeopardizes funding, not only for his own atmosphere-monitoring project, but all climate-change research. Currently, funding for climate research tops $5 billion per year.
—Daily Tech
In Case You Missed It
I know that there is no where in the MSM you saw this, so the good people at American Thinker gave a rundown on what went down. Yes, there was a conference with those evil "Manbearpig Skeptics". There was a bunch of evil people that get money from ecil oil companies and people that want you to drink pollution and breathe in pollution. Oh no, it was just a bunch of scientists, economists and policy wonks that have not drunk the cool-aid from the New Church of Manbearpig.
Cross posted at Grizzly Groundswell
NY Climate Conference: Journey to the Center of Warming Sanity
If you rely solely on the
mainstream media to keep informed, you may not have heard that the 2008
International Conference on Climate Change concluded in New York City
on Tuesday. And if you have heard anything — this being primarily a
forum of skeptics — it was likely of a last gasp effort by
"flat-Earthers" sponsored by right-wingers in the pockets of big-oil to
breathe life into their dying warming denial agenda. Well, having just
returned from the 3 day event, I’m happy to report that the struggle
against the ravages of warming alarmism is not only alive, but
healthier than ever.Granting
a long overdue forum to noted dissenting scientists, economists and
policy experts from around the world, the Heartland Institute-sponsored
symposium at the Marriott Marquis offered welcomed reasoned analysis as
alternative to last December’s hysterical circus which was Bali. It also served as the perfect launch point for a long-awaited un-IPCC report — Nature,
Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate: Summary for Policymakers of the
Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change [PDF].Compiling
the work of over 20 prominent fellow researchers, editor Fred Singer’s
NIPCC report distinguishes itself from the recent IPCC Fourth
Assessment (AR4) and its predecessors in that it was not
pre-programmed to "support the hypotheses of anthropogenic warming
(AGW) and the control of greenhouse gases." Instead, the nearly 50
page document is a non-political authoritative rebuttal to the
multi-government controlled IPCC’s "errors and outright falsehoods"
regarding warming’s measurement, likely drivers, and overall impact.And
its ultimate conclusion of "natural causes and a moderate warming
trend with beneficial effects for humanity and wildlife" set the
perfect framework for speakers and panelists – many of whom contributed
to the NIPCC — to elaborate on the summit’s "Global warming is not a
crisis" theme. —American Thinker
More troubles for AlGore and His Disciples
In more bad news for the New Church of Manbearpib, Fred Singer has a good editorial about howthe Supreme Court should look into the case that the 9th Circus Court declared CO2 a pollutant.
H/T Right Truth
Courts Confront Climate Change
January 24, 2008
S. Fred Singer
Washington TimesLate last year, the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals in San Francisco ruled that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration must consider the “risks of global warming” when setting gas-mileage standards for light trucks, minivans and SUVs.
Central to the court’s ruling was the claim that NHTSA, in violation of the National Environmental Policy Act, had ignored the benefits of reducing emissions of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2).
Whatever their legal acumen, Justice Betty Fletcher and her colleagues on the bench demonstrated they have little expertise in climate science. Tighter restrictions on CO2 emissions cannot produce the imagined benefits. Greenhouse gas emissions occur globally: The court’s mandate will not measurably curb CO2 levels or global warming.
The court also assumed that human activity is the main cause of global warming. This has yet to be demonstrated by hard evidence.
The U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) points to glacial melting, shrinking sea ice, and other consequences of global warming. But such “evidence” doesn’t tell us whether the causes are natural or manmade. Other evidence, such as the claimed correlation between temperature and CO2, is circumstantial; during much of the 20th century the climate was cooling while CO2 levels were rising.
A forthcoming report by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), of which I am the editor, may provide needed balance. An independent organization, not sponsored by the United Nations, national governments, or industry, NIPCC—which includes many IPCC authors and expert reviewers—was created to provide a second opinion on the IPCC’s official findings, much as a physician’s diagnosis may warrant a second opinion.—The Independent Institute
Weather Channel founder wants to sue AlGore
This is great,the founderof the Weather Channel wants to sue AlGore and his disciples over Manbearpig.
Weather Channel Founder Blasts Network; Claims It Is ‘Telling Us What to Think’
TWC founder and global warming skeptic advocates suing Al Gore to expose ‘the fraud of global warming.’
The Weather Channel has lost its way, according to John Coleman, who founded the channel in 1982.
Coleman told an audience at the 2008 International Conference on Climate Change on March 3 in New York that he is highly critical of global warming alarmism.
“The Weather Channel had great promise, and that’s all gone now because they’ve made every mistake in the book on what they’ve done and how they’ve done it and it’s very sad,” Coleman said. “It’s now for sale and there’s a new owner of The Weather Channel will be announced – several billion dollars having changed hands in the near future. Let’s hope the new owners can recapture the vision and stop reporting the traffic, telling us what to think and start giving us useful weather information.”—Business & Media Institute
Manbearpig to be taught in California schools
Yes, the Goracle’s Manbearpig will be forced upon the children in the land of Fruits and Nuts. California is going to mandate that Manbearpig willl be taught to school children, even though there is no proof of Manbearpig. But what do you expect from a State that is run by Defeatocrats. Just wait until Obamarama gets into the White House.
H/T to Moonbattery
Bill would require California’s science curriculum to cover climate changeSOME THINK SCIENCE ISN’T DEFINITIVE ENOUGH TO TEACH
Nessie a vicim of Manbearpig
Mnabearpig has put an end to Nessie the Lochness Monster, at least according to Robert Rines.
H/T to Moonbattery
…
Despite having hundreds of sonar contacts over the years, the trail has since gone cold and Rines believes that Nessie may be dead, a victim of global warming.
…
Now I definitely heard it all.
Alert AlGore re: Solution to Global Warming
Finally – the answer to all our problems re: Global Warming. Alert AlGore; he’s no longer needed.
Proposed Solution To Global Warming
2006-10-15
It is almost universally accepted now that the Earth is getting warmer. Simply looking at the statistics will tell you this – people who would argue otherwise tend to be the kind of tinfoil hat people who also believe that imminent magnetic pole reversal will kill everybody on Earth in 2030-something and that comets don’t exist and so on and so forth. The real question that we should all be asking ourselves is not whether the Earth is getting warmer. The question is: how will this affect us?
Obviously there will be positive effects – for example, to delineate the new period of heat and sunshine, a new fourth season, provisionally titled "Sum-mer", may have to be introduced into the regular Spring-Autumn-Winter calendar in the United Kingdom, and the opportunity to consume ice cream all year round may also prove attractive. Also, who wouldn’t want to live on the sunny Swiss coast? But, like any change anybody ever made to anything ever, there will also be negative effects, which will most likely outweigh the positive. As the equatorial regions of our planet grow hotter, vital industries serving the Western world from that region may diminish in capacity and – to put it bluntly – life will not be so cushy. People will have to relocate in the wake of extreme weather conditions like floods and hurricanes, which will cost the global taxpayer a stunning amount of cash overall. Granted, it may be that the changes occur smoothly enough that very few people actually perish as the Earth grows warmer, but we will NOT enjoy the transition period and the brave new world WILL prove relatively expensive to adapt to.
Overall, then, the prevailing opinion among scientists (although this is by no means as universally agreed upon as the existence of global warming itself) is that global warming would be a bad thing. It is only upon agreement of this point that we move on to the third question, which is "Can we reduce global warming?", and the fourth question, by far the most contentious, "What is causing global warming in the first place?"
Now, some people take the highly controversial view that global warming is a wholly natural event – the Earth is well known to have gone through phases of being warm and being cold in the past. The implication they take from this is that global warming cannot, or should not, be fought – we have no choice but to put up with it! (Note that this isn’t actually a logically airtight argument. Mankind fights and generally wipes the floor with nature all the time.) Most of the people who put forward this point of view tend to be the kind of people whose corporations’ factories’ continously accelerating output of CO2 and other greenhouse gases are what most sane observers believe is the actual reason behind global warming. (GLOBAL WARMING IS PEOPLE! PEEEEEEEOPLE!)
I take a third point of view. I’m of a more scientific bent – I am a mathematician, a logician, a rational reasoner. I say that reducing CO2 output wouldn’t do the job – even if we reduced it to zero and planted trees to scoop up the excess – because that’s not the CAUSE of global warming. We need to cut straight to the source.
The Sun is the cause of global warming.
We need to turn off the Sun.
Don’t worry, I don’t mean permanently.
Proposal
The average surface temperature of Earth’s atmosphere is about 14°C or 287 Kelvins. This has been measured to increase by about 0.6 Kelvins over the last 200 years, or about 0.2% of its absolute temperature. Which means the Sun is giving out roughly 0.2% more energy than we need to keep it at the required temperature. Therefore, if we make it so the Sun gives out about 0.2% less energy, everything will be fine!
Thus I propose that we turn off the Sun for roughly 0.2% of each solar day, or two to four minutes every 24 hours.
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Go to the source to see how this is going to be accomplished: http://qntm.org/?global
Wasn’t that simple? The Brits have the answer to everything.
Julia
Manbearpig stops hurricanes
I wonder what the Goralce thinks about this study??? He and his disciples have been talking about the doom of the world beacuse of Manbearpig, but still no one has ever seen Manbearpig. But now the Environmentalist Wackos are saying that Manbearpig is stoppping more hurricanes form happening. I wonder why??????????? Could it be that their dire predictions of many Katrinas never came true???? Inquiring minds want to know. Maybe all the cold weather the US has been happening is because of Manbearpig now also???? It is amazing how much BS is going around to prove that Manbearppig exists.
Please call the Goracle if you fin Manbearpig, because he is so cereal.
Global warming might keep hurricanes away from U.S.
Check your assumptions at the door — it turns out that global warming may be inhibiting rather than enhancing hurricanes.
By MARTIN MERZER
mmerzer@MiamiHerald.com
Intensifying one of the hottest debates in science, a new report concludes that global warming actually is diminishing the number of hurricanes that strike Florida and the rest of the United States — and the phenomenon is likely to continue.
The study, produced by two respected South Florida researchers, found that the planet’s oceans have been warming for more than a century. No surprise there, but this may be:
Those warmer oceans are producing stronger crosswinds that tend to suppress the development and growth of hurricanes, according to the scientists.
”We found a gentle decrease in the trend of U.S. landfalling hurricanes as global oceans warmed up,” said Chunzai Wang, an oceanographer and climate scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s research facility on Virginia Key.
Some previous studies found that global warming was increasing the number and intensity of hurricanes, a conclusion that supported the conventional wisdom that warmer seas automatically turbocharge hurricane development.
This latest study, conducted by Wang and Sang-Ki Lee of the University of Miami, will be published Wednesday in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
Though it is still early in the process, the study raises questions about how the insurance industry, which sets rates based on risk models, will respond to reports that appear to contradict each other.
Many other studies have used computerized statistical models to predict the future consequences of global warming, but Wang and Lee conducted a rigorous ”observational” examination of records reaching back to 1854.—Miami Herald
U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007
Looks like the "consensus" is a bunch of nonsense. There are many reputable scientists that do not drink the cool-aid at the New Church of Manbearpig.
Senate Report Debunks "Consensus"
Complete U.S. Senate Report Now Available: (LINK)
Complete Report w/out Intro: (LINK)
INTRODUCTION:
Over 400 prominent
scientists from more than two dozen countries recently voiced
significant objections to major aspects of the so-called "consensus" on
man-made global warming. These scientists, many of whom are current and
former participants in the UN IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change), criticized the climate claims made by the UN IPCC and former
Vice President Al Gore.
The new report issued by
the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee’s office of the GOP
Ranking Member details the views of the scientists, the overwhelming
majority of whom spoke out in 2007.
Even some in the establishment media now appear to be taking notice of the growing number of skeptical scientists. In
October, the Washington Post Staff Writer Juliet Eilperin conceded the
obvious, writing that climate skeptics "appear to be expanding rather
than shrinking." Many scientists from around the world have dubbed 2007
as the year man-made global warming fears “bite the dust.” (LINK)
In addition, many scientists who are also progressive environmentalists
believe climate fear promotion has "co-opted" the green movement. (LINK)
This blockbuster Senate report lists the scientists by name, country of residence, and academic/institutional affiliation. It
also features their own words, biographies, and weblinks to their peer
reviewed studies and original source materials as gathered from public
statements, various news outlets, and websites in 2007. This new
“consensus busters” report is poised to redefine the debate.
Many of the scientists
featured in this report consistently stated that numerous colleagues
shared their views, but they will not speak out publicly for fear of
retribution. Atmospheric scientist Dr. Nathan Paldor, Professor of
Dynamical Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the Hebrew
University of Jerusalem, author of almost 70 peer-reviewed studies,
explains how many of his fellow scientists have been intimidated.
“Many
of my colleagues with whom I spoke share these views and report on
their inability to publish their skepticism in the scientific or public
media,” Paldor wrote. [Note: See also July 2007 Senate report detailing how skeptical scientists have faced threats and intimidation – LINK ] The Inhofe EPW Press Blog
Read the whole thing/
A little insight of the Shindig at Bali
Viscount Monckton had an inside look at the Bali Manbearpig shindig. He tried to talk to Groacle’s disciples of the New Church of Manbearpig, but did not get thru to them. They have drank the cool-aide and have been infected with the hunt for Manbearpig.
VISCOUNT MONCKTON’S INSIDE STORY ON THE BALI CONFERENCE
A readable but revealing summary of what really happened at the UNFCC
meeting on climate change in Bali. And why the ordinary people of the
world should be very, very afraid.
Bali diary
Fortnight Of The Undead
By Christopher Monckton in Nusa Dua, Bali
Down
the Poxy, our local fleapit late on a Saturday night, voodoo flicks
like Night Of The Undead were always popular when I was a lad. To
shrieks of scornful merriment from the teenage audience, mindless
zombies would totter aimless across the clumsily-constructed sets with
lugubrious expressions frozen on their messily-made-up death-masks
until the hero, with the lurv interest wrenched screeching from the
clutches of the late Baron Samedi and draped admiringly on her
rescuer’s extravagantly-muscled arm, triumphantly saved the day.Thus
it was in Bali during the Fortnight Of The Undead. There was surreality
in the air. The overwhelming majority of the governmental delegates,
journalists, quango stallholders, fortune-hunters and environmental
lobbyists who attended the UN climate conference in the soulless Nusa
Dua conference centre tottered aimlessly among the clumsily-constructed
sets with lugubrious expressions frozen on their messily-made-up
death-masks. Monckton’s Rule: the further Left, the tackier the
make-up. The only laughter came from our gallant band of doubters, the
heroes of this otherwise gloomy production.I nearly didn’t go
to Bali. The UN, which had not wanted any dissent at this
carefully-staged event, rejected my journalistic credentials out of
hand, and without explanation. However, a non-government organization
came to the rescue and the high priests didn’t dare to say No a second
time. That would have looked too obvious. I proved my journo-cred by
writing a major article in the Jakarta Post on day 1 of the conference,
cheekily claiming my share of the Nobel Prize because the IPCC had made
a correction to its latest Holy Book at my suggestion, and concluding
that, since our influence on the climate is a non-problem, and the
correct approach to a non-problem is to do nothing, my
fellow-participants should have the courage to do nothing and push off
home.The Post circulated the article to all delegates and
syndicated it worldwide, provoking weeping and gnashing of dentures
among the zombies at my challenge to the scientific accuracy of the
Holy Books of the IPCC. I don’t think the UN will dare to question my
journalistic credentials again.The UN’s sinister bureaucrats
were furious that their attempt to stop me writing in the newspapers
from the conference had failed. So they interrupted a presentation by
me to delegates, threatened to have me thrown out by Security if I
addressed any meeting open to the Press in the conference venues, and
cancelled without reason a room they had previously booked for our
team’s daily conferences. The room wasn’t even needed for someone else:
it stood empty. So we mounted a demo outside the conference: half a
dozen scientists (and me) in white lab-coats and (for some reason)
wrap-around shades, holding a banner saying, “New science drives out
old fears: Kyoto 2 is not needed”.The UN, whose pot-bellied
goons had taken over the entire Nusa Dua conference zone from the
leaner and more competent Indonesian and Balinese security forces,
moved us on within minutes, while allowing anti-nuclear protesters,
Greens and even Hilary Benn, described as a UK Minister, to mount
demonstrations for hours on end.The official propaganda mantra
at the conference, first suggested by a UK pressure-group last year and
now enthusiastically adopted by the UN, was that “The Science Is
Settled”. The zombies, led by the outgoing and incoming conference
chairmen, recited this mantra with glazed but increasingly desperate
pietism.An IPCC lead author came to one of the press
conferences we managed to hold before the UN showed its alarm at our
effect on the delegates by shutting us down. He said a mere layman like
me had no business challenging the supposed “consensus”. And he tried
to maintain that a table of figures in the latest Holy Book had been
added up correctly when, as a slide I was showing made quite clear, it
had not added up to within a factor of two of the right answer. In the
land of the zombies, two plus two equals nine.Outside the
conference hall, I went up to a fragrant Japanese lady manning one of
the exhibits set up by the ever-growing number of taxpayer-funded
quangos with bewildering but important-sounding initials that are
profiting by the lavish State handouts available to anyone willing to
proselytize for the cult of the wrathful God Siotu. “What disasters?” I
enquired, with an expression of shambling, potty-Peer innocence. This
usually provoked a lurid list of plagues, droughts, floods, deaths,
cataclysms and mass extinctions worthy of St. John the Divine at his
most hyperbolic. The UK High Court judge who condemned Al Gore for
exaggerations of this sort would have locked up most of the
stallholders and sent me the key.But this lady had somehow
escaped the zombies. She drew me to one side and whispered, “Don’t tell
my boss, but two-thirds of the delegates here are mad.” They would have
been mad, if they’d had minds at all. One of the most enduring
impressions on all of our team was that the Enlightenment has been
switched off. Enter the Dark Age of Unreason. Ever since the high
priests tampered with the scientists’ text of the IPCC’s 1995 Holy
Book, deleting multiple references to the absence of credible evidence
for any anthropogenic effect on climate and inserting the directly
contrary statement that there was now a discernible human influence,
anyone who dares to check the science is regarded as a heretic for
daring to question the Holy Books of voodoo. Never mind the facts: just
believe the nonsense, even when it doesn’t add up.I couldn’t
resist baiting the stallholder at the stand run by a certain national
weather bureau. This particular tax-gobbler, reliably Messianic in its
Siotological fervour, had a childishly imaginative poster that ramped
up the imagined disasters as global temperature rose by each additional
degree Celsius. At just 2 degrees, the poster said the Greenland ice
sheet would be permanently destabilized. Oo-er. The message was
illustrated by the usual picture of a glacier calving spectacularly
into the water.—NZ Climate Science Coalition
Read the whole thing. It is a very good look at the"zombies" as he calls them. They have no clue on the science of Climate and do not use the Scientific Method on any of their findings. What a complete waste of time it was.
But AlGore is still on the lookout for Manbearpig, if you see him give him a call, because he is cereal.
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